The call ▼ DOWN
BTC underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 14:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYvsBitcoinvs
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