The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms QQQ over the next 48h
Made 2026-07-07 14:05 · graded in public
Right · score 96%
directionDOWN
confidence62%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms QQQ over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade96%
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Microsoft joins tech layoffs with 4,800 global job cuts
- Microsoft joins AI-driven tech layoff wave with 4,800 job cuts
Correct — MSFT -3.8% vs QQQ +1.5% — MSFT trailed QQQ by 5.3% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Correct 0.97]