The call FLAT
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-07 10:06 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
direction—
confidence60%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY total return over 48h
resolves48h
grade74%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Coffee Shorts Get Roasted As Arabica Stages Biggest Jump Since Dot-Com
- GLM 5.2 and the coming AI margin collapse
Correct — QQQ -1.6% vs SPY -0.8% (spread -0.8%)