The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 07:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE closes equal to or higher than SPY's intraday return over 24h
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimarySPYvs
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