The call FLAT
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 05:05 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionFLAT
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes >1.5% higher over 24h window, sustained above intraday high
resolves24h
grade80%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Trump expected to tell Turkey he is ready to restore access to F-35 jets, NYT reports - Reuters
- Trump says Sikorsky to fund White House helicopter landing pad - Reuters
- Bitcoin rebounds after Trump says he's become 'a big crypto guy'
Correct — bitcoin moved -0.5% ($63,048 → $62,762)