The call ▲ UP
META outperforms MSFT over 48h
Made 2026-07-07 03:05 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence67%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms MSFT or matches MSFT's return over 48h
resolves48h
grade77%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
METAprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
Correct — META +0.5% vs MSFT -0.9% — META beat MSFT by 1.4% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Wrong 0.26]