The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 23:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence63%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT matches or outperforms QQQ total return over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- The Microsoft Stock Outlook Remains Upbeat Despite Layoffs
- 80% of Big Companies Cut Staff to Pay for AI, and a New Study Found the Layoffs Didn’t Improve Returns at All
- Microsoft cuts 4,800 jobs and shrinks Xbox in 'significant restructure'