The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 22:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence64%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window, OR MSFT closes down while SPY closes up
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Microsoft cuts 4,800 jobs and shrinks Xbox in 'significant restructure'
- Sony Hits Eject on the Era of Owning Games