The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 19:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence66%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →