The call ▼ DOWN
BTC underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-06 18:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYvsBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- Rise in dollar inflows may put additional pressure on Gold prices
- VIX: 15.81 (as of 2026-07-03)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.48% (as of 2026-07-01)