The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 18:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence61%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.35 percentage points (35 bps) (as of 2026-07-02)
- VIX: 15.81 (as of 2026-07-03)
- HY Credit Spread: 2.75 percentage points (275 bps) (as of 2026-07-02)