MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-06 16:04 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence57%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY performance over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryMSFTvs

What I was reading

Microsoft cuts 4,800 jobs and shrinks Xbox in 'significant restructure'
SK Hynix Seeks Access to AI Investors in $29 Billion US Listing
US labor force participation rate drops to lowest since December 2023, and crypto markets see opportunity