The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 12:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
COINprimarySPYvs
What I was reading