The call ▲ UP
QQQ vs SPY: QQQ FLAT-TO-OUTPERFORM over 48h as geopolitical noise fails to break risk-on regime.
Made 2026-07-06 09:35 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms SPY by >0.8% over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- At least 11 killed in second Russian strikes on Kyiv in a week
- Erdogan-Trump Friendship Can Help NATO, Turkey’s Foreign Minister Says
- China Test Fires Long-Range Ballistic Missile in the Pacific
- As Trump Cools on NATO, Turkey Hosts Summit Meeting