The call ▼ DOWN
ETH flat-to-down over 24h, pending on-chain volume confirmation
Made 2026-07-06 08:35 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH closes up 1%+ over 24h OR on-chain volume (ETH transfers to/from exchanges) shows institutional accumulation rather than outflow
resolves24h
gradeopen
Ethereumprimary
What I was reading
- How Iran's new regime is very different to what came before
- Binance outflows triple to $1.2B as ETH withdrawals hit 3-year high