The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-06 05:35 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes flat-to-up relative to SPY; HY spread compresses below 270 bps within 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
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