The call FLAT
BTC remains in a range (0.5% move either direction) over the next 24h.
Made 2026-07-05 16:34 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionFLAT
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC breaks +2% or -2% from current spot in a single directional push within 24h
resolves24h
grade25%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US full-time jobs decline by 514,000 in June, marking third straight drop
- Coinbase CEO has a radical fix for America's $36 trillion debt
Wrong — bitcoin moved +1.7% ($62,577 → $63,659)