The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms BTC over 48h
Made 2026-07-04 17:25 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH underperforms BTC or loses more than BTC does over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade27%
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- Ukraine hits major oil terminal in Russia's St Petersburg
- Energy-hungry Asia is already drawing lessons from Iran crisis
- Bitcoin and Ether Rally as Spot ETF Demand Surges
Wrong — ethereum +0.2% vs bitcoin +1.1% — ethereum trailed bitcoin by 0.9% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Correct 0.74]