The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 48h
Made 2026-07-04 08:46 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over the next 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- $500m for Trump, access for Pakistan: How a crypto-diplomatic bet paid off
- Kevin Warsh faces scrutiny as new Federal Reserve chairman amid political pressures and crypto conflicts