The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms BTC over 48h
Made 2026-07-03 19:39 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionUP
confidence63%
reasoning50% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC outperforms or matches ETH returns over 48h, or both decline with BTC decline less severe
resolves48h
grade75%
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- Bitcoin price reaches new July high above $62K on weak US jobs data
- CFTC Chair Selig criticizes Illinois’ 0.2% crypto transaction tax as a brake on innovation
- IMF says tokenization could transform settlement and financial stability
Correct — ethereum +1.8% vs bitcoin +0.8% (spread +1.0%)