The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 48h
Made 2026-07-03 16:39 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade75%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- How a fertilizer shortage caused by the Iran war could affect U.S. food prices
- Four Reasons Crimea Has Become Crucial in the Ukraine War
- U.S. Officials Believed Israel Was Plotting to Kill Iranian Negotiators
Correct — bitcoin moved +1.0% ($62,009 → $62,647)