The call ▲ UP
ETH closes higher over 48h
Made 2026-07-03 16:39 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence63%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifETH closes flat-to-down over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade84%
Ethereumprimary
What I was reading
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.35 percentage points (35 bps) (as of 2026-07-02)
- VIX: 16.59 (as of 2026-07-01)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.48% (as of 2026-07-01)
- 2Y Treasury Yield: 4.17% (as of 2026-07-01)
Correct — ethereum moved +2.7% ($1,731 → $1,778)