The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-07-03 07:38 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionDOWN
confidence64%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes higher over the next 24h
resolves24h
grade26%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
Wrong — bitcoin moved +1.2% ($61,704 → $62,442)