The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-02 22:09 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence70%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading