The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-02 22:09 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence70%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- A new, cheaper Chinese AI model is rivaling Anthropic, OpenAI. It's not DeepSeek
- Zhipu AI releases harness for GLM-5.2 model as Chinese firm takes aim at Anthropic