The call FLAT
QQQ closes flat-to-up over 48h
Made 2026-07-02 13:54 · graded in public
Wrong · score 22%
directionFLAT
confidence67%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes down >1.2% over 48h
resolves48h
grade22%
QQQprimary
What I was reading
- Why the Jobs Market Has Wall Street and Washington on Edge
- A solid job market underpins Warsh’s inflation pledge
Wrong — QQQ moved -2.7% ($730 → $710)