The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-02 13:04 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionDOWN
confidence64%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY return over 24h window
resolves24h
grade78%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ -1.7% vs SPY -0.1% (spread -1.6%)