The call ▼ DOWN
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-02 11:16 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence69%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL closes higher or matches SPY performance over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading