ETH closes lower over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-01 22:16 · graded in public

Wrong · score 6%

directionDOWN

confidence64%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifETH closes higher or flat (>-1% range) over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade6%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Ethereumprimary

What I was reading

Binance and Changpeng Zhao sued by 1,700 UK investors for £150M over unapproved crypto derivatives
Bitmine Ether buys eclipsed by $345M ETH ETF $345M outflows: Is sub $1.5K next?

Wrong — ethereum moved +7.9% ($1,628 → $1,756)