The call ▼ DOWN
BTC flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-07-01 21:16 · graded in public
Wrong · score 24%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes higher over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade24%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
Wrong — bitcoin moved +1.9% ($60,334 → $61,466)
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →