The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-01 06:02 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence69%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY's daily return over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
GOOGLprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Anthropic says US lifts export ban on its advanced AI tools
- Anthropic launches Claude Sonnet 5 at a steep discount to its top model as the company races toward a blockbuster IPO
- Anthropic launches Claude Sonnet 5 as a cheaper way to run agents