The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 48h
Made 2026-06-30 17:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 13%
directionDOWN
confidence69%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over the next 48h window, particularly if on-chain accumulation re-enters or Strategy announces suspension of selling plan
resolves48h
grade13%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- The Supreme Court upholds Fed independence by saving Lisa Cook’s job—and also saves U.S. debt from a crisis
- Cryptos slide as Strategy's bitcoin sales plan pressures market
Wrong — bitcoin moved +5.5% ($58,392 → $61,629)