The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms NVDA over 24h
Made 2026-06-30 10:01 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence66%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA rises more than QQQ over the 24h window, or QQQ closes flat-to-down while NVDA rises
resolves24h
grade27%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ +1.7% vs NVDA +2.6% (spread -0.9%)