The call FLAT
SPY outperforms or matches QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-06-30 08:01 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionFLAT
confidence65%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ significantly outperforms SPY (>2% relative) over the next 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- A key CUSMA 'checkpoint' is coming. Businesses and unions are balancing anxiety and hope
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