The call FLAT
SPY outperforms or matches QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-06-30 08:01 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionFLAT
confidence65%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ significantly outperforms SPY (>2% relative) over the next 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading