The call ▲ UP
SPY closes higher over 48h
Made 2026-06-30 04:09 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionUP
confidence67%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSPY closes flat-to-down, or any new Iran-strait incident headlines cause intraday reversal to red close
resolves48h
grade73%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
What I was reading
Correct — SPY moved +0.6% ($741 → $746)