The call ▲ UP
SPY outperforms QQQ over 48h (large-cap bid under terminal-rate regime)
Made 2026-06-29 18:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence67%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Fed Funds Rate: 3.63 (as of 2026-06-25)
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.31 (as of 2026-06-26)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.4 (as of 2026-06-25)
- US Dollar Index: 120.3958 (as of 2026-06-18)