The call ▼ DOWN
META underperforms SPY over 48h (regulatory headwind dominates product upside near-term)
Made 2026-06-29 18:04 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence66%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA outperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMETAvs
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →