MSFT outperforms GOOGL over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-06-29 13:03 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence69%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms or matches MSFT over 48h

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

GOOGLprimaryMSFTvs

What I was reading

I left Google after making nearly $1M in a year. Fears about layoffs and missing out on the AI boom gave me the push
Pollen (CEO Negus-Fancey, CTO Wright) tried to remove article, and Google helped
MSFT: $372.97 (+5.71%) range $355.43-$376.61 — up
GOOGL: $337.39 (-1.84%) range $330.20-$346.36 — down