The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-06-29 10:34 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionDOWN
confidence66%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes higher or trades within ±0.3% over next 24h window
resolves24h
grade23%
QQQprimary
What I was reading
- Europe's heatwave linked to 1,300 deaths, WHO says, as Germany hits record 41.7C
- British American Tobacco to cut 9,000 jobs
- Trump threatens 100% tariff on European nations over tech tax
- Iran Risks Peace Talks With U.S. to Maintain Leverage Over Strait
Wrong — QQQ moved +2.5% ($707 → $724)