BTC closes higher over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-06-29 09:35 · graded in public

Wrong · score 27%

directionUP

confidence64%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down (at or below current price) over the 24h window, or fails to hold above immediate support despite geopolitical headline relief

resolves24h

grade27%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Bitcoinprimary

What I was reading

US says it has agreed to 'stand down' after exchange of strikes with Iran
Oil Prices Rise on Possible Deal to Suspend Attacks in Gulf

Wrong — bitcoin moved -1.0% ($59,877 → $59,278)