QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-06-29 06:43 · graded in public

Wrong · score 25%

directionDOWN

confidence73%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade25%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

What Robinhood’s recent layoffs say about the current state of crypto investments
Cloudflare cut 1,100 jobs and then grew its engineering team by 45 percent, and its CEO says the pattern will repeat everywhere
Trump threatens 100% tariff on European nations over tech tax

Wrong — QQQ +4.2% vs SPY +2.4% (spread +1.8%)