The call FLAT
BTC closes flat (±1.5%) over 48h
Made 2026-06-29 05:43 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionFLAT
confidence66%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC breaks above $61,500 or below $58,500 over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade80%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- U.S. and Iran exchange strikes, underscoring the fragility of the ceasefire
- Mideast Live Updates: U.S. Indicates a Deal to Suspend Attacks in Strait but Iran Hasn’t Confirmed
- US Strikes Iran Again as Tit-for-Tat Attacks Test Ceasefire
- Bitcoin price holds $60K as Middle East tensions fail to spark panic
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.0% ($59,646 → $59,059)