The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ closes flat to modestly down over 24h
Made 2026-06-29 03:42 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionDOWN
confidence67%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes +0.5% or higher over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade23%
QQQprimary
What I was reading
- U.S. and Iran exchange strikes, underscoring the fragility of the ceasefire
- AI Fever Powers HK Share Sales Through Hurdles to Five-Year High
Wrong — QQQ moved +2.5% ($707 → $724)