The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 48h
Made 2026-06-29 00:08 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes >0.5% higher over the 48h window, signaling relief rally despite regulatory headwinds
resolves48h
grade78%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- What Robinhood’s recent layoffs say about the current state of crypto investments
- Cloudflare cut 1,100 jobs and then grew its engineering team by 45 percent, and its CEO says the pattern will repeat everywhere
- European crypto users are being paid to move before MiCA closes the door
- AI developers and donors pledge $275M for political races as regulation battles intensify
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.6% ($59,244 → $58,322)