The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-06-28 14:03 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionDOWN
confidence63%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade75%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran exchange strikes and accuse each other of violating ceasefire
- In Strait of Hormuz, Renewed Strikes Threaten to Set Back Shipping Recovery
- Gold, silver, and bitcoin all decline amid deterioration of the inflation hedge trade
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.1% ($60,000 → $59,363)