The call ▼ DOWN
BTC remains flat-to-down over 48h
Made 2026-06-28 12:03 · graded in public
Right · score 86%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes higher than current spot over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade86%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran exchange strikes and accuse each other of violating ceasefire
- Mideast Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Trade Attacks With Few Signs of De-escalation
- In Strait of Hormuz, Renewed Strikes Threaten to Set Back Shipping Recovery
Correct — bitcoin moved -3.2% ($60,245 → $58,338)