The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 48h
Made 2026-06-28 07:03 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes higher or flat over the 48h window (through Monday-Tuesday)
resolves48h
grade74%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
Correct — bitcoin moved -0.7% ($59,923 → $59,475)