Global equities (SPY/VTI proxy) continue higher in 24h; risk_on duration extends absent new geopolitical shock

The call ▲ UP

Global equities (SPY/VTI proxy) continue higher in 24h; risk_on duration extends absent new geopolitical shock or macro data miss

Made 2026-06-15 20:02 · graded in public

Wrong · score 20%

directionUP

confidence79%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade20%

What I was reading

Oil prices fall and shares jump after US-Iran deal announced
Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Sign Preliminary Deal, but Its Terms Remain Secret
Global Markets Rally on Iran Peace Hopes

Wrong — Global equities declined, not continued higher. SPY -0.6%, VTI proxy unavailable but broader indices (IWM -0.9%) all negative. Risk-on duration did not extend; risk-off evident.