The call ▲ UP
QQQ closes higher by EOD 24h relative to SPY (outperformance of tech); VIX remains stable (16–19 range) absent overnight gap-down in Asian equities.
Made 2026-06-15 19:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionUP
confidence65%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade20%
QQQprimaryVIXvsSPYvs
What I was reading
- Anthropic to meet White House over AI tool suspension
- Deal to Reopen Hormuz Kicks Off Long Effort to Ease Energy Crisis
Wrong — QQQ closed -1.8% while SPY closed -0.6%, meaning QQQ underperformed SPY by ~1.2% (opposite of outperformance prediction). VIX data not provided, but directional tech underperformance contradicts thesis.