WRONG — Prediction claimed BTC rise 1.5–3% and ETH rise 1.5–3% over 24h on US AI export control hedging demand. Actual results: BTC +0.3% (missed by 1.2–2.7pp), ETH -0.7% (opposite direction, missed by 2.2–3.7pp). Export control directive did not trigger predicted hedging rally in either asset. Clear directional miss on both.