The call FLAT
SPY flat to +0.5% in 24h; equity index resilience continues despite headline severity
Made 2026-06-10 09:33 · graded in public
Wrong · score 10%
direction—
confidence76%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade10%
SPYprimary
WRONG — Predicted SPY flat to +0.5% in 24h. Actual: SPY -1.6%. Directionally opposite. Thesis about 'equity index resilience' and geopolitical noise having minimal impact completely failed. Market sold off despite claimed insulation from headlines.
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